16.4 Stock Return Response Modeling

Valuation model

MarketCapit=T=t(11+rit)TtE(CFT)

Equivalently,

MarketCapit=(1+Eretit)MarketCapit1+T=t(11+rit)TtΔE(CFiT)

where0

  • Eret = expected rate of return for an asset

  • ΔE(CFiT) = change in the expected cash flows

Hence, the stock return can be written as

StockReturnit=