16.2 William Sharpe’s SI Model

  • What is SI model used for? Extension of the CER model to capture the stylized fact of a common component in the returns of many assets.
    • Provides an explanation as to why assets are correlated with each other: share an exposure to a common source.
    • Provides a simplification of the covariance matrix of a large number of asset returns.
    • Provides additional intuition about risk reduction through diversification.
  • Example of a factor model for asset returns. Factor models are used heavily in academic theories of asset pricing and in industry for explaining asset returns, portfolio construction and risk analysis. Sharpe’s SI model is the most widely used.
  • Motivate by showing positive correlation between individual asset returns and market index (sp500)
  • Mostly used for simple returns; but can be used for cc returns for risk analysis.

Let Rit denote the simple return on asset i over the investment horizon between times t1 and t. Let RMt denote the simple return on a well diversified market index portfolio, such as the S&P 500 index. The single index (SI) model for Rit has the form:96 Rit=αi+βiRMt+εit,RMtiidN(0,σ2M),ϵitGWN(0,σ2ϵ,i),cov(RMt,ϵis)=0,foralltands,cov(ϵit,ϵjs)=0,forallijandalltands. The SI model (16.1) - (16.5) assumes that all individual asset returns, Rit, are covariance stationary and are a linear function of the market index return, RMt, and an independent error term, ϵit. The SI model is an important extension of the regression form of the CER model. In the SI model individual asset returns are explained by two distinct sources: (1) a common (to all assets) market-wide source RMt; (2) and asset specific source ϵit.

16.2.1 Economic interpretation of the SI model

16.2.1.1 Interpretation of βi

First, consider the interpretation of βi in (16.1). The coefficient βi is called the asset’s market exposure or market “beta”{Market beta}. It represents the slope coefficient in the linear relationship between Rit and RMt. Because it is assumed that RMt and ϵit are independent, βi can be interpreted as the partial derivative RitRMt=RMt(αi+βiRMt+εit)=βi. Then, for small changes in RMt denoted ΔRMt and holding εit fixed, we have the approximation ΔRitΔRMtβiΔRitβi×ΔRMt, Hence, for a given change in the market return βi determines the magnitude of the response of asset is return. The larger (smaller) is βi the larger (smaller) is the response of asset i to the movement in the market return.

The coefficient βi in (16.1) has another interpretation that is directly related to portfolio risk budgeting. In particular, from chapter 14 βi=cov(Rit,RMt)var(RMt)=σiMσ2M, and MCRσMi=βiσM. Here, we see that βi is the “beta” of asset i with respect to the market portfolio and so it is proportional to the marginal contribution of asset i to the volatility of the market portfolio. Therefore, assets with large (small) values of βi have large (small) contributions to the volatility of the market portfolio. In this regard, βi can be thought of as a measure of portfolio risk. Increasing allocations to assets with high (low) βi values will increase (decrease) portfolio risk (as measured by portfolio volatility). In particular, when βi=1 asset is percent contribution to the volatility of the market portfolio is its allocation weight. When βi>1 asset is percent contribution to the volatility of the market portfolio is greater than its allocation weight, and when βi<1 asset is percent contribution to the volatility of the market portfolio is less than its allocation weight.

The derivation of (16.6) is straightforward. Using (16.1) we can write cov(Rit,RMt)=cov(αi+βiRMt+εit,RMt)=cov(βiRMt,RMt)+cov(εit,RMt)=βivar(RMt)  (since cov(εit,RMt)=0)βi=cov(Rit,RMt)var(RMt).

16.2.1.2 Interpretation of RMt and ϵit

To aid in the interpretation of RMt and ϵit in (16.1) , re-write (16.3) as εit=RitαiβiRMt. In (16.3), we see that ϵit is the difference between asset is return, Rit, and the portion of asset is return that is explained by the market return, βiRMt, and the intercept, αi. We can think of RMt as capturing “market-wide” news at time t that is common to all assets, and βi captures the sensitivity or exposure of asset i to this market-wide news. An example of market-wide news is the release of information by the government about the national unemployment rate. If the news is good then we might expect RMt to increase because general business conditions are good. Different assets will respond differently to this news and this differential impact is captured by βi. Assets with positive values of βi will see their returns increase because of good market-wide news, and assets with negative values of βi will see their returns decrease because of this good news. Hence, the magnitude and direction of correlation between asset returns can be partially explained by their exposures to common market-wide news. Because ϵit is assumed to be independent of RMt and of ϵjt, we can think of ϵit as capturing specific news to asset i that is unrelated to market news or to specific news to any other asset j. Examples of asset-specific news are company earnings reports and reports about corporate restructuring (e.g., CEO resigning). Hence, specific news for asset i only effects the return on asset i and not the return on any other asset j.

The CER model does not distinguish between overall market and asset specific news and so allows the unexpected news shocks ϵit to be correlated across assets. Some news is common to all assets but some is specific to a given asset and the CER model error includes both types of news. In this regard, the CER model for an asset’s return is not a special case of the SI model when βi=0 because the SI model assumes that ϵit is uncorrelated across assets.

16.2.2 Statistical properties of returns in the SI model

In this sub-section we present and derive the statistical properties of returns in the SI model (16.1) - (16.5). We will derive two types of statistical properties: unconditional and conditional. The unconditional properties are based on unconditional or marginal distribution of returns. The conditional properties are based on the distribution of returns conditional on the value of the market return.

16.2.2.1 Unconditional properties

The unconditional properties of returns in the SI model (16.1) - (16.5) are: E[Rit]=μi=αi+βiμM,var(Rit)=σ2i=β2iσ2M+σ2ϵ,i,cov(Rit,Rjt)=σij=βiβjσ2M,cor(Rit,Rjt)=ρij=βiβjσ2M(β2iσ2M+σ2ϵ,i)(β2jσ2M+σ2ϵ,j),RitiidN(μi,σ2i)=N(αi+βiμM,β2iσ2M+σ2ϵ,i) The derivations of these properties are straightforward and are left as end-of-chapter exercises.

Property (16.8) shows that αi=μiβiμM. Hence, the intercept term αi can be interpreted as the average return on asset i that is in excess of the average return due to the market.

From property (16.9), an asset’s return variance is additively decomposed into two independent components: var(Rit)=σ2i=β2iσ2M+σ2ϵ,i(totalassetivariance=marketvariance+assetspecificvariance) Here, β2iσ2M is the contribution of the market index return RMt to the total variance of asset i, and σ2ϵ,i is the contribution of the asset specific component ϵit to the total return variance, respectively. If we divide both sides of (16.14) by σ2i we get 1=β2iσ2Mσ2i+σ2ϵ,iσ2i=R+(1R2), where R2=β2iσ2Mσ2i is the proportion of asset is variance that is explained by the variability of the market return RMt and 1R2=σ2ϵ,iσ2i is the proportion of asset is variance that is explained by the variability of the asset specific component ϵit.

  • Sharpe’s rule of thumb. A typical stock has R2=0.30. That is, 30% of an asset’s variability is explained by the market movements. - R2 can be interpreted as the fraction of risk that is non-diversifiable, 1R2 gives the fraction of risk that is diversifiable. Come back to this point after discussing the SI model and portfolios below.
  • This is an example of factor risk budgeting

Properties (16.10) and (16.11) show how assets are correlated in the SI model. In particular,

  • σij=0 if βi=0 or βj=0 or both. Assets i and j are uncorrelated if asset i or asset j or both do not respond to market news.
  • σij>0 if βi,βj>0 or βi,βj<0 . Assets i and j are positively correlated if both assets respond to market news in the same direction.
  • σij<0 if βi>0 and βj<0 or if βi<0 and βj>0. Assets i and j are negatively correlated if they respond to market news in opposite directions.

From (16.11), assets i and j are perfectly correlated (ρij=±1) only if σϵ,i=σϵ,j=0.

Property (16.12) shows that the distribution of asset returns in the SI model is normal with mean and variance given by () and (), respectively.

In summary, the unconditional properties of returns in the SI model are similar to the properties of returns in the CER model: Returns are covariance stationary with constant means, variances, and covariances. Returns on different assets can be contemporaneously correlated and all asset returns uncorrelated over time. The SI model puts more structure on the expected returns, variances and covariances than the CER model and this allows for a deeper understanding of the behavior of asset returns.

16.2.2.2 Conditional properties

The properties of returns in the SI model (16.1) - (16.5) conditional on RMt=rMt are: E[Rit|RMt=rMt]=αi+βirMt,var(Rit|RMt=rMt]=σ2ϵ,i,cov(Rit,Rjt|RMt=rMt]=0,cor(Rit,Rjt|RMt=rMt]=0,Rit|RMtiidN(αi+βirMt,σ2ϵ,i).

Recall, conditioning on a random variable means we observe its value. In the SI model, once we observe the market return two important things happen: (1) an asset’s return variance reduces to its asset specific variance; and (2) asset returns become uncorrelated.

16.2.3 SI model and portfolios

A nice feature of the SI model for asset returns is that it also holds for a portfolio of asset returns. This property follows because asset returns are a linear function of the market return. To illustrate, consider a two asset portfolio with investment weights x1and x2 where each asset return is explained by the SI model: R1t=α1+β1RMt+ϵ1t,R2t=α2+β2RMt+ϵ2t. Then the portfolio return is Rp,t=x1R1t+x2R2t=x1(α1+β1RMt+ε1t)+x2(α2+β2RMt+ε2t)=(x1α1+x2α2)+(x1β1+x2β2)RMt+(x1ε1t+x2ε2t)=αp+βpRMt+εp,t where αp=x1α1+x2α2, βp=x1β1+x2β2, and εp,t=x1ε1t+x2ε2t.

16.2.3.1 SI model and large portfolios

Consider an equally weighted portfolio of N assets, where N is a large number (e.g. N=500) whose returns are described by the SI model. Here, xi=1/N for i=1,,N. Then the portfolio return is Rp,t=Ni=1xiRit=Ni=1xi(αi+βiRMt+εit)=Ni=1xiαi+(Ni=1xiβi)RMt+Ni=1xiεit=1NNi=1αi+(1NNi=1βi)RMt+1NNi=1εit=ˉα+ˉβRMt+ˉεt, where ˉα=1NNi=1αi, ˉβ=1NNi=1βi and ˉεt=1NNi=1εit. Now, var(ˉεt)=var(1NNi=1εit)=1N2Ni=1var(εit)=1N(1NNi=1σ2ϵ,i)=1Nˉσ2 where ˉσ2=1NNi=1σ2ϵ,i is the average of the asset specific variances. For large N, 1Nˉσ20 and we have the Law of Large Numbers result ˉεt=1NNi=1εitE[εit]=0. As a result, in a large equally weighted portfolio we have the following:

  • Rp,tˉα+ˉβRMt: all non-market asset-specific risk is diversified away and only market risk remains.
  • var(Rp,t)=ˉβ2var(RMt)SD(Rp,t)=|ˉβ|×SD(RMt): portfolio volatility is proportional to market volatility where the factor of proportionality is the absolute value of portfolio beta.
  • R21: Approximately 100% of portfolio variance is due to market variance.
  • ˉβ1. A large equally weighted portfolio resembles the market portfolio (e.g., as proxied by the S&P 500 index) and so the beta of a well diversified portfolio will be close to the beta of the market portfolio which is one by definition.97

These results help us to understand the type of risk that gets diversified away and the type of risk that remains when we form diversified portfolios. Asset specific risk, which is uncorrelated across assets, gets diversified away whereas market risk, which is common to all assets, does not get diversified away.

  • (Relate to average covariance calculation from portfolio theory chapter).
  • Related to asset R2 discussed earlier. R2 of an asset shows the portion of risk that cannot be diversified away when forming portfolios.

16.2.4 The SI model in matrix notation

  • Need to emphasize that the SI model covariance matrix is always positive definite. This is an important result because it allows for the mean-variance analysis of very large portfolios.

For i=1,,N assets, stacking (16.1) gives the SI model in matrix notation (R1tRNt)=(α1αN)+(β1βN)RMt+(ϵ1tϵNt), or Rt=α+βRMt+ϵt. The unconditional statistical properties of returns (16.8), (16.9), (16.10) and (16.12) can be re-expressed using matrix notation as follows: E[Rt]=μ=α+βμM,var(Rt)=Σ=σ2Mββ+D,RtiidN(μ,Σ)=N(α+βμM,σ2Mββ+D), where D=var(ϵt)=(σ2ϵ,1000σ2ϵ,2000σ2ϵ,N)=diag(σ2ϵ,1,σ2ϵ,1,,σ2ϵ,N).

The derivation of the SI model covariance matrix (16.19) is var(Rt)=Σ=βvar(RMt)β+var(ϵt)=σ2Mββ+D, which uses the assumption that the market return RMt is uncorrelated will all asset specific error terms in ϵt.

It is useful to examine the SI covariance matrix (16.19) for a three asset portfolio. In this case, we have Rit=αi+βiRMt+εit, i=1,2,3σ2i=var(Rit)=β2iσ2M+σ2ε,iσij=cov(Rit,Rjt)=σ2Mβiβj The 3×3 covariance matrix is Σ=(σ21σ12σ13σ12σ22σ23σ13σ23σ23)=(β21σ2M+σ2ε,1σ2Mβ1β2σ2Mβ1β3σ2Mβ1β2β22σ2M+σ2ε,2σ2Mβ2β3σ2Mβ1β3σ2Mβ2β3β23σ2M+σ2ε,3)=σ2M(β21β1β2β1β3β1β2β22β2β3β1β3β2β3β23)+(σ2ε,1000σ2ε,2000σ2ε,3). The first matrix shows the return variance and covariance contributions due to the market returns, and the second matrix shows the contributions due to the asset specific errors. Define β=(β1,β2,β3). Then σ2Mββ=σ2M(β1β2β3)(β1β2β3)=σ2M(β21β1β2β1β3β1β2β22β2β3β1β3β2β3β23),D=diag(σ2ε,1,σ2ε,2,σ2ε,3)=(σ2ε,1000σ2ε,2000σ2ε,3), and so Σ=σ2Mββ+D.

The matrix form of the SI model (16.18) - (16.20) is useful for portfolio analysis. For example, consider a portfolio with N×1 weight vector x=(x1,,xN). Using (16.17), the SI model for the portfolio return Rp,t=xRt is Rp,t=x(α+βRMt+ϵt)=xα+xβRMt+xϵt=αp+βpRMt+ϵp,t, where αp=xα, βp=xβ and ϵp,t=xϵt.


  1. The single index model is also called the* market model* or the single factor model.↩︎

  2. The S&P 500 index is a value weighted index and so is not equal to an equally weighted portfolio of the stocks in the S&P 500 index. However, since most stocks in the S&P 500 index have large market capitalizations the values weights are not too different from equal weights.↩︎