12.1 Confidence intervals
In a study of high strength--high ductile concrete, Ranade et al. (2015) measured (among other things) the load required to create the first visible cracks in concrete samples under various strains rates.
Under a strain rate of 10 s−1, the n=6 concrete samples produced a mean first-crack strength of 12.4 MPa with a standard deviation of 2.8 MPa.
One student computes the approximate 95% CI for the mean first-crack strength as 12.4±2.8 MPa. Another student computes the approximate 95% CI for the mean first-crack strength as 12.4±(2×2.8), or from 6.8 to 18.0 MPa.
- Both students are incorrect. Explain why the students are incorrect, and explain what they actually have calculated instead.
- Compute the correct (approximate) 95% CI.
References
Ranade R, Li VC, Heard WF. Tensile rate effects in high strength-high ductility concrete. Cement and Concrete Research. 2015;68:94–104.