10.2 Orthogonal IRF
The impulse response function (IRF) in VAR models is interpreted as the reaction of each endogenous variable to a unit shock caused by a change in one of the error terms \(u_{1,t}\) or \(u_{2,t}\)
In the case where the error terms \(u_{1,t}\) are \(u_{2,t}\) are correlated, an orthogonalization procedure is applied, i.e. non-diagonal matrix \(\Sigma\) is transformed into diagonal one by Cholesky decomposition
Cholesky decomposition transforms a non-diagonal matrix \(\Sigma\) into the product of a lower triangular matrix \(L\) with positive elements on the main diagonal, and its transpose \(L^T\)
\[\begin{equation} \Sigma=L L^T \tag{10.5} \end{equation}\]
- When the lower triangular matrix \(L\) is found, its inverse is used to transform correlated error terms into uncorrelated ones
\[\begin{equation} \begin{aligned} \varepsilon_t&=L^{-1} u_t \\ \Omega&=L^{-1} \Sigma {(L^{-1})}^{T} \end{aligned} \tag{10.6} \end{equation}\]
- Finally, the orthogonal impulse response function (OIRF) is formed, generating response matrices in every period
Period | Response |
---|---|
\(~~~~~~~0~~~~~~~\) | \(0\) |
\(1\) | \(L\) |
\(2\) | \(A_1 L\) |
\(3\) | \(A_1^2 L\) |
\(4\) | \(A_1^3 L\) |
\(5\) | \(A_1^4 L\) |
\(\cdots\) | \(~~~~~~~~~~\cdots~~~~~~~~~~\) |
\(k\) | \(A_1^{k-1} L\) |