5.5 Losing leads to Winning

Being slightly behind can lead to increase in probability of winning because being slightly behind increases one’s efforts (Berger and Pope 2011)

For example, in basketball game, a losing team at half time by one or two points are more likely to win at the end of the game.


Berger, Jonah, and Devin Pope. 2011. “Can Losing Lead to Winning?” Management Science 57 (5): 817–27. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1110.1328.