Chapter 3 Representation of market prices

3.1 The market offers

When having access to a market, everyone can ask the buyers and vendors about their prices, and write them down on a piece of paper. This could look like this:

3.1.1 From the buyers

Table 3.1: Price of Wheat expressed in Cabbages
Buyer Quantity of Wheat bought Price in Cabbages
Buyer 1 1 Wheat 1.4 Cabbage
Buyer 2 1 Wheat 1.1 Cabbage
Buyer 3 1 Wheat 0.9 Cabbage
Table 3.2: Price of Salad expressed in Money
Buyer Quantity of Salads bought Price in Money
Buyer 1 1 Salad 1.4 Money
Buyer 2 1 Salad 1.3 Money
Buyer 3 1 Salad 1 Money
Table 3.3: Price of Cabbage expressed in Rice
Buyer Quantity of Cabbages bought Price in Rice
Buyer 1 1 Cabbage 1.3 Rice
Buyer 2 1 Cabbage 1 Rice
Buyer 3 1 Cabbage 0.7 Rice

3.1.2 From the vendors

Table 3.4: Price of Money expressed in Tomatoes
Vendor Quantity of Money sold Price in Tomatoes
Vendor 1 1 Money 1 Tomato
Vendor 2 0.75 Money 1 Tomato
Vendor 3 0.5 Money 1 Tomato
Table 3.5: Price of Salad expressed in Cabbages
Vendor Quantity of Salads sold Price in Cabbages
Vendor 1 2 Salad 1 Cabbage
Vendor 2 1.5 Salad 1 Cabbage
Vendor 3 1 Salad 1 Cabbage
Table 3.6: Price of Rice expressed in Tomatoes
Vendor Quantity of Rice sold Price in Tomatoes
Vendor 1 1.5 Rice 1 Tomato
Vendor 2 1.25 Rice 1 Tomato
Vendor 3 0.8 Rice 1 Tomato

3.2 Graph representation

Such tables are tedious to read and analyse, and so we can represent all this in a better way.

First, we need to enumerate the trade possibilities: each time there is someone willing to buy a product P1 for a product P2, we represent it with an arrow going from P1 to P2: P1P2.

From table 3.1: WheatCabbage
From table 3.2: SaladMoney
From table 3.3: CabbageRice

From table 3.4: TomatoMoney
From table 3.5: CabbageSalad
From table 3.6: TomatoRice

Second, as long as we are not bying too much on the market, we only need to remember the most advantageous prices. So for each arrow P1P2 we drew, we assume that we have one unit of P1 and we are looking for the maximum quantity of P2 we can get: this will be the coefficient assigned to the arrow.

From table 3.1: Wheat1.4Cabbage
From table 3.2: Salad1.4Money
From table 3.3: Cabbage1.3Rice

From table 3.4: Tomato1Money
From table 3.5: Cabbage2Salad
From table 3.6: Tomato1.5Rice

Finally, we have to join these arrows together in a general weighted and directed graph, summarizing the offers available on the market:

market_graph_1 Wheat Wheat Cabbage Cabbage Wheat->Cabbage 1.4 Salad Salad Cabbage->Salad 2 Rice Rice Cabbage->Rice 1.3 Money Money Salad->Money 1.4 Tomato Tomato Tomato->Money 1 Tomato->Rice 1.5

Figure 3.1: Graph representation of the market

3.3 Arbitrage opportunities

Reading the graph 3.1, we can see that if we have 1 unit of wheat, we can exchange it for 1.4 unit of cabbages, which we can in turn exchange for 1.4×2=2.8 units of salads. With these salads we can get 2.8×1.4=3.92 units of money.

We can then rely on graph theory to find arbitrage opportunities: arbitrage opportunities are the cycles that we find in the graph, such that 1 unit of one product can be exchanged (in one or several steps) for more units of the same product.

3.4 Exchange rates and real prices

The graph representation of the market offers makes it easier to study some economic problems. For example, some people could ask themselves if fixed exchange rates between two countries would structurally affect the real prices, and if so in what way.

Let us represent the markets of these two countries:

market_graph_2 cluster_1 Country 1 cluster_2 Country 2 A A M1 M1 A->M1 α1 D D A->D χ M2 M2 A->M2 κ M1->A α2 B B M1->B β2 C C M1->C γ2 M1->M2 μ1 : μ2 E E M1->E θ B->M1 β1 C->M1 γ1 C->B λ D->M2 δ1 M2->D δ2 M2->E ε2 F F M2->F φ2 E->C ψ E->M2 ε1 E->F ν F->M2 φ1

Figure 3.2: Graph representation of the market (floating rate)

M1 and M2 represent the monies of the two countries. One unit of M1 is worth μ2 units of M2, and one unit of M2 is worth μ1 units of M1. For the sake of simplicity, let us say that μ1=μ12.

Is it possible that one unit of M1 is exchanged for one unit of M2 (fixed exanche rate) while the real prices stay the same? Let us look at this graph:

market_graph_3 cluster_1 Country 1 cluster_2 Country 2 A A M1 M1 A->M1 α1 D D A->D χ M2 M2 A->M2 κ/μ2 M1->A α2 B B M1->B β2 C C M1->C γ2 M1->M2 1 : 1 E E M1->E θ B->M1 β1 C->M1 γ1 C->B λ D->M2 μ1δ1 M2->D μ2δ2 M2->E μ2ε2 F F M2->F μ2φ2 E->C ψ E->M2 μ1ε1 E->F ν F->M2 μ1φ1

Figure 3.3: Graph representation of the market (fixed rate)

The real prices are the same than on the previous graph! From this we can conclude that there is no direct influence of the exchange rate on the prices, except through price rigidity and lack of information.