References

Ahmad, Hammad, Asad Ali, Syeda Hira Fatima, Farrah Zaidi, Muhammad Khisroon, Syed Basit Rasheed, Ihsan Ullah, Saleem Ullah, and Muhammad Shakir. “Spatial Modeling of Dengue Prevalence and Kriging Prediction of Dengue Outbreak in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Pakistan) Using Presence Only Data.” Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 34, no. 7 (July 1, 2020): 1023–36. doi:10.1007/s00477-020-01818-9.
“Alan Lopez,” December 11, 2023. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Alan_Lopez&oldid=1189335406.
“Analytic Hierarchy Process.” Wikipedia, March 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Analytic_hierarchy_process&oldid=1214553274.
“Approximate Bayesian Inference for Latent Gaussian Models by Using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations - Rue - 2009 - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series b (Statistical Methodology) - Wiley Online Library,” n.d. https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2008.00700.x.
Baker, Ruth E., Jose-Maria Peña, Jayaratnam Jayamohan, and Antoine Jérusalem. “Mechanistic Models Versus Machine Learning, a Fight Worth Fighting for the Biological Community?” Biology Letters 14, no. 5 (May 16, 2018): 20170660. doi:10.1098/rsbl.2017.0660.
Bourke, Joanna. Fear: A Cultural History. Catapult, 2007.
Broemeling, Lyle D. Bayesian Analysis of Infectious Diseases: COVID-19 and Beyond. New York: Chapman; Hall/CRC, 2021. doi:10.1201/9781003125983.
Butcher, Brandon, and Brian J. Smith. The American Statistician 74, no. 3 (July 2020): 308–9. doi:10.1080/00031305.2020.1790217.
CDC. “About Rabies,” May 14, 2024. https://www.cdc.gov/rabies/about/index.html.
Chowell, Gerardo, Sushma Dahal, Amna Tariq, Kimberlyn Roosa, James M. Hyman, and Ruiyan Luo. “An Ensemble n-Sub-Epidemic Modeling Framework for Short-Term Forecasting Epidemic Trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 Pandemic in the USA.” PLOS Computational Biology 18, no. 10 (October 6, 2022): e1010602. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010602.
“Christopher J. L. Murray,” January 1, 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Christopher_J._L._Murray&oldid=1192936044.
“Constitution of the World Health Organization,” n.d. https://www.who.int/about/accountability/governance/constitution.
“Coronaviridae - Wikipedia,” n.d. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronaviridae.
Dempsey, Mary. “Decline in Tuberculosis.” American Review of Tuberculosis, April 23, 2019. https://www.atsjournals.org/doi/epdf/10.1164/art.1947.56.2.157?role=tab.
———. “Decline in Tuberculosis.” American Review of Tuberculosis, April 23, 2019. https://www.atsjournals.org/doi/epdf/10.1164/art.1947.56.2.157?role=tab.
Devleesschauwer, Brecht, Scott A. McDonald, Niko Speybroeck, and Grant M. A. Wyper. “Valuing the Years of Life Lost Due to COVID-19: The Differences and Pitfalls.” International Journal of Public Health 65, no. 6 (2020): 719–20. doi:10.1007/s00038-020-01430-2.
“Disability-Adjusted Life Year,” December 8, 2023. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Disability-adjusted_life_year&oldid=1188922629.
“Disability-Adjusted Life Year,” December 8, 2023. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Disability-adjusted_life_year&oldid=1188922629.
Dobrow, Robert P. Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R. John Wiley & Sons, 2016.
Dubos, R. “The State of Health and the Quality of Life.” Western Journal of Medicine 125, no. 1 (July 1976): 8–9. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1237171/.
———. “The State of Health and the Quality of Life.” Western Journal of Medicine 125, no. 1 (July 1976): 8–9. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1237171/.
“Echoutcome,” October 8, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20161008010513/http://echoutcome.eu/.
Ferrari, Alize J., Damian Francesco Santomauro, Amirali Aali, Yohannes Habtegiorgis Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Hedayat Abbastabar, Samar Abd ElHafeez, et al. “Global Incidence, Prevalence, Years Lived with Disability (YLDs), Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALYs), and Healthy Life Expectancy (HALE) for 371 Diseases and Injuries in 204 Countries and Territories and 811 Subnational Locations, 19902021: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.” The Lancet 403, no. 10440 (May 18, 2024): 2133–61. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00757-8.
Forecasting: Principles and Practice (3rd Ed), n.d. https://otexts.com/fpp3/.
Foreman, Kyle J., Rafael Lozano, Alan D. Lopez, and Christopher JL Murray. “Modeling Causes of Death: An Integrated Approach Using CODEm.” Population Health Metrics 10, no. 1 (January 2012): 1. doi:10.1186/1478-7954-10-1.
Gilks, W. R., S. Richardson, and David Spiegelhalter, eds. Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice. Chapman; Hall/CRC, 1995. doi:10.1201/b14835.
“Global Health Estimates,” n.d. https://www.who.int/data/global-health-estimates.
Haenszel, William. “A Standardized Rate for Mortality Defined in Units of Lost Years of Life.” American Journal of Public Health and the Nations Health 40, no. 1 (January 1950): 17–26. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1528498/.
Hampson, Katie, Laurent Coudeville, Tiziana Lembo, Maganga Sambo, Alexia Kieffer, Michaël Attlan, Jacques Barrat, et al. “Estimating the Global Burden of Endemic Canine Rabies.” PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 9, no. 4 (April 2015): e0003709. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0003709.
“Healthy Life Expectancy (HALE),” n.d. https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/themes/topics/indicator-groups/indicator-group-details/GHO/healthy-life-expectancy-(hale).
“Healthy Life Years,” January 26, 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Healthy_Life_Years&oldid=1199224227.
Holmes, David. “Report Triggers Quibbles over QALYs, a Staple of Health Metrics.” Nature Medicine 19, no. 3 (March 1, 2013): 248–48. doi:10.1038/nm0313-248.
Huang, Xing-Yao, Qi Chen, Meng-Xu Sun, Hang-Yu Zhou, Qing Ye, Wu Chen, Jin-Yu Peng, et al. “A Pangolin-Origin SARS-CoV-2-Related Coronavirus: Infectivity, Pathogenicity, and Cross-Protection by Preexisting Immunity.” Cell Discovery 9, no. 1 (June 17, 2023): 1–13. doi:10.1038/s41421-023-00557-9.
Hult, Marja, Olli Halminen, Miika Linna, Sakari Suominen, and Mari Kangasniemi. “Cost-Effectiveness Calculators for Health, Well-Being and Safety Promotion: A Systematic Review.” The European Journal of Public Health 31, no. 5 (May 10, 2021): 997–1003. doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckab068.
Hyder, Adnan A., Prasanthi Puvanachandra, and Richard H. Morrow. “Measuring the Health of Populations: Explaining Composite Indicators.” Journal of Public Health Research 1, no. 3 (December 2012): 222–28. doi:10.4081/jphr.2012.e35.
Ihmeuw/Ihme-Modeling. Institute for Health Metrics; Evaluation, 2024. https://github.com/ihmeuw/ihme-modeling.
“Ipc2021,” n.d. https://ipc2021.popconf.org/abstracts/210817.
“John Graunt,” January 24, 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=John_Graunt&oldid=1198718407.
“John Graunt,” January 24, 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=John_Graunt&oldid=1198718407.
Keeling, M. J., and L. Danon. “Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases.” British Medical Bulletin 92, no. 1 (December 1, 2009): 33–42. doi:10.1093/bmb/ldp038.
Kolokolnikov, Theodore, and David Iron. “Law of Mass Action and Saturation in SIR Model with Application to Coronavirus Modelling.” Infectious Disease Modelling 6 (November 16, 2020): 91–97. doi:10.1016/j.idm.2020.11.002.
Kovacheva, Ts. P. “Life Tables - Key Parameters and Relationships Between Them.” International Mathematical Forum 12 (2017): 469–79. doi:10.12988/imf.2017.7225.
“Kriging,” July 18, 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Kriging&oldid=1235203584.
“Kriging Best Fit: Kbfit - Fit Variogram Models and Kriging Models to Spatial Data and Select the Best Model Based on the Metrics Values Kbfit,” n.d. https://fgazzelloni.github.io/hmsidwR/reference/kbfit.html.
Kuhn, Max. The Caret Package, n.d. https://topepo.github.io/caret/.
Laura H. Kahn, M. D. One Health and the Politics of COVID-19. Johns Hopkins University Press, 2024. doi:10.56021/9781421449326.
Li, Ying, Thomas Hills, and Ralph Hertwig. “A Brief History of Risk.” Cognition 203 (October 2020): 104344. doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2020.104344.
“Life Expectancy for CP, VS, TBI and SCI,” n.d. https://www.lifeexpectancy.org/lifetable.shtml.
Liu, Xiaoxue, Yan Guo, Fang Wang, Yong Yu, Yaqiong Yan, Haoyu Wen, Fang Shi, et al. “Disability Weight Measurement for the Severity of Different Diseases in Wuhan, China.” Population Health Metrics 21 (May 2023): 5. doi:10.1186/s12963-023-00304-y.
Lugnér, Anna K., and Paul F. M. Krabbe. “An Overview of the Time Trade-Off Method: Concept, Foundation, and the Evaluation of Distorting Factors in Putting a Value on Health.” Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research 20, no. 4 (August 2020): 331–42. doi:10.1080/14737167.2020.1779062.
“Machine Learning.” Wikipedia, April 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Machine_learning&oldid=1220758567.
“Mlr-Org,” n.d. https://mlr-org.com/.
“Modified Logit Life Table System: Principles, Empirical Validation, and Application: Population Studies: Vol 57, No 2,” n.d. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0032472032000097083.
Moraga, Paula. Chapter 14 Kriging | Spatial Statistics for Data Science: Theory and Practice with R, n.d. https://www.paulamoraga.com/book-spatial/kriging.html?q=kri#kriging.
Murray, C. J. “Quantifying the Burden of Disease: The Technical Basis for Disability-Adjusted Life Years.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization 72, no. 3 (1994): 429–45. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2486718/.
Murray, C. J., A. D. Lopez, and D. T. Jamison. “The Global Burden of Disease in 1990: Summary Results, Sensitivity Analysis and Future Directions.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization 72, no. 3 (1994): 495–509. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2486716/.
Murray, Christopher J. L., Aleksandr Y. Aravkin, Peng Zheng, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja M. Abbas, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Foad Abd-Allah, et al. “Global Burden of 87 Risk Factors in 204 Countries and Territories, 19902019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.” The Lancet 396, no. 10258 (October 17, 2020): 1223–49. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30752-2.
Murray, Christopher J. L., Joshua A. Salomon, Colin D. Mathers, Alan D. Lopez, and Weltgesundheitsorganisation, eds. Summary Measures of Population Health: Concepts, Ethics, Measurement and Applications. World Health Organization, 2002.
Murray, Christopher JL, and Julio Frenk. “Health Metrics and Evaluation: Strengthening the Science.” The Lancet 371, no. 9619 (April 5, 2008): 1191–99. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(08)60526-7.
Muszyńska-Spielauer, Magdalena, and Marc Luy. “Well-Being Adjusted Health Expectancy: A New Summary Measure of Population Health.” European Journal of Population 38, no. 5 (December 2022): 1009–31. doi:10.1007/s10680-022-09628-1.
null, null. “Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa the First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections.” New England Journal of Medicine 371, no. 16 (October 16, 2014): 1481–95. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1411100.
Ock, Minsu, Bomi Park, Hyesook Park, In-Hwan Oh, Seok-Jun Yoon, Bogeum Cho, and Min-Woo Jo. “Disability Weights Measurement for 289 Causes of Disease Considering Disease Severity in Korea.” Journal of Korean Medical Science 34, no. Suppl 1 (February 2019): e60. doi:10.3346/jkms.2019.34.e60.
Onovo, Amobi Andrew, Akinyemi Atobatele, Abiye Kalaiwo, Christopher Obanubi, Ezekiel James, Pamela Gado, Gertrude Odezugo, Dolapo Ogundehin, Doreen Magaji, and Michele Russell. “Using Supervised Machine Learning and Empirical Bayesian Kriging to Reveal Correlates and Patterns of COVID-19 Disease Outbreak in Sub-Saharan Africa: Exploratory Data Analysis,” n.d. doi:10.1101/2020.04.27.20082057.
“Pandemic - Wikipedia,” n.d. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic.
Pebesma, Edzer J. “Multivariable Geostatistics in s: The Gstat Package.” Computers & Geosciences 30, no. 7 (August 1, 2004): 683–91. doi:10.1016/j.cageo.2004.03.012.
Porst, Michael, Elena von der Lippe, Janko Leddin, Aline Anton, Annelene Wengler, Jan Breitkreuz, Katrin Schüssel, et al. “The Burden of Disease in Germany at the National and Regional Level.” Deutsches Ärzteblatt International 119, no. 46 (November 2022): 785–92. doi:10.3238/arztebl.m2022.0314.
“Quality-Adjusted Life Year,” December 27, 2023. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Quality-adjusted_life_year&oldid=1192021016.
“Rabies,” n.d. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/rabies.
Rehm, Jürgen, and Ulrich Frick. “Establishing Disability Weights from Pairwise Comparisons for a US Burden of Disease Study.” International Journal of Methods in Psychiatric Research 22, no. 2 (May 2013): 144–54. doi:10.1002/mpr.1383.
Reiner, Robert C., and Simon I. Hay. “The Overlapping Burden of the Three Leading Causes of Disability and Death in Sub-Saharan African Children.” Nature Communications 13, no. 1 (December 6, 2022): 7457. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-34240-6.
“R-INLA Project - What Is INLA?” n.d. https://www.r-inla.org/what-is-inla.
Roster, Kirstin, Colm Connaughton, and Francisco A. Rodrigues. “Forecasting New Diseases in Low-Data Settings Using Transfer Learning.” Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals 161 (August 2022): 112306. doi:10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112306.
Santangelo, Omar Enzo, Vito Gentile, Stefano Pizzo, Domiziana Giordano, and Fabrizio Cedrone. “Machine Learning and Prediction of Infectious Diseases: A Systematic Review.” Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction 5, no. 1 (March 2023): 175–98. doi:10.3390/make5010013.
Selemani, Majige, Amina S. Msengwa, Sigilbert Mrema, Amri Shamte, Michael J. Mahande, Karen Yeates, Maurice C. Y. Mbago, and Angelina M. Lutambi. “Assessing the Effects of Mosquito Nets on Malaria Mortality Using a Space Time Model: A Case Study of Rufiji and Ifakara Health and Demographic Surveillance System Sites in Rural Tanzania.” Malaria Journal 15, no. 1 (May 4, 2016): 257. doi:10.1186/s12936-016-1311-9.
Silge, Max Kuhn, and Julia. Tidy Modeling with r, n.d. https://www.tmwr.org/.
Stanaway, Jeffrey D, Ashkan Afshin, Emmanuela Gakidou, Stephen S Lim, Degu Abate, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, et al. “Global, Regional, and National Comparative Risk Assessment of 84 Behavioural, Environmental and Occupational, and Metabolic Risks or Clusters of Risks for 195 Countries and Territories, 19902017: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.” The Lancet 392, no. 10159 (November 2018): 1923–94. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32225-6.
Tiemersma, Edine W., Marieke J. van der Werf, Martien W. Borgdorff, Brian G. Williams, and Nico J. D. Nagelkerke. “Natural History of Tuberculosis: Duration and Fatality of Untreated Pulmonary Tuberculosis in HIV Negative Patients: A Systematic Review.” PLOS ONE 6, no. 4 (April 4, 2011): e17601. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0017601.
Tsugane, Shoichiro. “Why Has Japan Become the World’s Most Long-Lived Country: Insights from a Food and Nutrition Perspective.” European Journal of Clinical Nutrition 75, no. 6 (2021): 921–28. doi:10.1038/s41430-020-0677-5.
Volz, Erik M., Joel C. Miller, Alison Galvani, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. “Effects of Heterogeneous and Clustered Contact Patterns on Infectious Disease Dynamics.” PLoS Computational Biology 7, no. 6 (June 2, 2011): e1002042. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002042.
Vos, Theo, Stephen S. Lim, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja M. Abbas, Mohammad Abbasi, Mitra Abbasifard, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, et al. “Global Burden of 369 Diseases and Injuries in 204 Countries and Territories, 1990–2019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.” The Lancet 396, no. 10258 (October 2020): 1204–22. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30925-9.
Vos, Theo, Stephen S Lim, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja M Abbas, Mohammad Abbasi, Mitra Abbasifard, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, et al. “Global Burden of 369 Diseases and Injuries in 204 Countries and Territories, 19902019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.” The Lancet 396, no. 10258 (October 2020): 1204–22. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30925-9.
Wackernagel, Hans. “Linear Regression and Simple Kriging.” edited by Hans Wackernagel, 15–26. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 2003. doi:10.1007/978-3-662-05294-5_3.
“Well-Being Adjusted Health Expectancy - a New Summary Measure of Population Health | Population Europe,” n.d. https://population-europe.eu/research/books-and-reports/well-being-adjusted-health-expectancy-new-summary-measure-population.
“WHO-Convened Global Study of Origins of SARS-CoV-2: China Part,” n.d. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/who-convened-global-study-of-origins-of-sars-cov-2-china-part.
“World Malaria Report 2022,” n.d. https://www.who.int/publications-detail-redirect/9789240064898.
Wyper, Grant M. A., Ian Grant, Eilidh Fletcher, Neil Chalmers, Gerry McCartney, and Diane L. Stockton. “Prioritising the Development of Severity Distributions in Burden of Disease Studies for Countries in the European Region.” Archives of Public Health 78, no. 1 (January 2020): 3. doi:10.1186/s13690-019-0385-6.
“Zoonosis - Wikipedia,” n.d. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoonosis.