List of Contents

  • 1. Introduction
    • 1.1 Aim
    • 1.2 Scope
    • 1.3 Objectives
    • 1.4 Specific Requirements
  • 2. Air Transport Evolution and Forecast before COVID-19
  • 3. Pandemic Arrival and Evolution
  • 4 Routes Impact Analysis
    • 4.1 Methodology
    • 4.2 Database
    • 4.3 Analysis
      • 4.3.1 The pandemic outbrake throughout the schedule adjustments
      • 4.3.2 The air cargo phenomena
      • 4.3.3 Evolution of the frequencies cancelled per airline
      • 4.3.4 Affected Airlines
      • 4.3.5 Duration and anticipation of the adjustments
      • 4.3.6 Airlines' Strategy
  • 5. The Scenarios for the Future of the Air Transport
  • 6. Conclusions

List of Figures

  • Figure 2.1: Traffic Forecast for 2038. Source: (Airbus 2019).
  • Figure 2.2: Traffic Forecast for 2038. Source: (ICAO 2012).
  • Figure 2.3: World Economic growth vs air traffic growth. Source: (ICAO 2012).
  • Figure 2.4: Total route creation. Source: (Airbus 2019).
  • Figure 3.1: Some of the most affected foreign carriers by the China lockdown.
  • Figure 3.2: Airlines forming the IAG, AirFrance KLM and Lufthansa Group.
  • Figure 3.3: The big three airlines in the United States.
  • Figure 4.1: The United Nations geoscheme.
  • Figure 4.2: Evolution of the affected routes by COVID-19.
  • Figure 4.3: Net Frequencies Curve.
  • Figure 4.4: Air Cargo volume and capacity during the months of March, April and May. Source: CLIVE Data Services.
  • Figure 4.5: Oil price evolution during the first quarter of 2020. Source: Refinitiv.
  • Figure 4.6: Austrian Airlines 777-200 being loaded with cargo in the passenger cabin. Source: Austrian Airlines.
  • Figure 4.7: Swiss International Airlines cabin filled with boxes. Source: Swiss WorldCargo.
  • Figure 4.8: Evolution of the cancelled frequencies per airline.
  • Figure 4.9: Evolution of the confirmed cases per country.
  • Figure 4.10: List of Airlines Affected.
  • Figure 4.11: Number of Airlines Affected per Region.

  • Figure 4.12: Number of Cancellations per Region.

  • Figure 5.1: Passenger Revenue Loss per region. Source: ICAO

  • Figure 5.2: Scenarios for passenger seat capacity. Source: ICAO

List of Tables

  • Table 4.1: Database structure.

  • Table 4.2: Classification of the airlines that applied increases in frequencies from March 15 to April 7.